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Forecast for the Ogden Area Mountains

Mark Staples
Issued by Mark Staples on
Saturday morning, January 15, 2022
Today the avalanche danger is LOW on all aspects and elevations. Watch out for snow becoming wet on south-facing slopes especially in terrain with a lot of exposed rocks. In these isolated areas, there could be some loose wet avalanches.
Avalanches are unlikely today and conditions are generally safe, but low danger DOES NOT mean avalanches are impossible. There could be unstable snow in isolated areas.

Maintain normal safe travel protocols of only exposing one person at a time to avalanche terrain. If you were to trigger a slide, your only hope of surviving will be having partners watching you from a safe location.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Weather and Snow
This morning temperatures are inverted - in the upper 20s F in the mountains but in the teens F at many trailheads. Winds are blowing from the north and northeast at 15 mph gusting to 25 mph at ridgelines.
Today will have mostly sunny skies and temperatures will rise to 32 degrees F with light north and northwest winds. It will be a beautiful day to escape valley inversions and enjoy the mountains.
Snow in the Ogden area mountains has been on a wild ride. At low elevations, it has nearly become saturated during rain about a week ago and should be solidly refrozen today. Above 8000 feet, there is a mixed bag of conditions with hard snow from wind and rime, but some soft snow can be found on wind and sun-sheltered slopes. The combination of clear, cold nights and warm sunny days has faceted the surface snow in many places and deposited snow surface hoar (frozen dew).
Recent Avalanches
The most recent avalanche activity was some wet loose avalanches in south facing terrain five days ago.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
All indications are that the persistent weak layer of facets near the ground is dormant and perhaps done. This layer has gained noticeable strength, and it has a very thick hard slab on top of it making it hard to impact. Most extended column tests (but not all) are no longer breaking at all. The last avalanche on this layer was triggered with explosives at a ski area last Saturday a week ago. There have been no avalanches on this layer seen or triggered in the backcountry although I suspect some happened naturally during storms in December.
Avalanche Problem #2
Wet Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
With strong sunshine and warm air temperatures, the snow on south facing slopes should become a little wet today. If riding south facing slopes, watch for the ice crusts on the surface to melt and look for pinwheels of snow rolling downhill. If you see these signs, wet avalanches are becoming possible, and you should move to terrain that doesn't have wet snow.
General Announcements
Who's up for some free avalanche training? Get a refresher, become better prepared for an upcoming avalanche class, or just boost your skills. Go to https://learn.kbyg.org/ and scroll down to Step 2 for a series of interactive online avalanche courses produced by the UAC.
This information does not apply to developed ski areas or highways where avalanche control is normally done. This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.