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Forecast for the Skyline Area Mountains

Brett Kobernik
Issued by Brett Kobernik on
Thursday morning, February 24, 2022
The avalanche danger remains CONSIDERABLE on steep slopes that face west, north and east. Human triggered avalanches breaking 1 to 2 feet deep are likely. Stay out from underneath steep slopes as avalanches can be triggered from a distance right now.
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Weather and Snow
Current Conditions
Another 4 to 6 inches of snow fell in the last 24 hours. This brings totals since Monday up to 12 to 20 inches. In favored locations I've measured almost 3 feet of new snow over the last 7 days. We've added 1 to 1.8" of water on top of the old snow surface that was present during the long period of high pressure and no snow. The wind has not been a huge factor with these storms. Riding conditions are excellent right now. Temperatures bottomed out at zero or below zero overnight.
Mountain Weather
We'll see some low level clouds this morning and high clouds moving in this afternoon. High temperatures may not make it out of the single digits today. Wind will be from the northwest quickly shifting west and southwest. It should remain fairly light for most of the day and increase a bit later on. Another storm system moves through tonight which may bring a few more inches of snow.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
I don't like the current set up. There is loose sugary faceted snow buried under 1 to 2 feet of new snow. This is a HUGE red flag. I have experienced some cracking over the last couple of days but I wouldn't say conditions are super touchy. I have not seen any recent avalanches but visibility has been poor and I haven't been able to get close enough to many avalanche prone slopes to see if anything has released naturally. Hopefully today I'll be able to travel around and get a good look at things. I know of numerous slopes that I could get to avalanche right now. If you are going into the mountains today, it is imperative that you proceed with caution and stick to slope angles of less than 30 degrees in steepness.
General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.