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Forecast for the Skyline Area Mountains

Brett Kobernik
Issued by Brett Kobernik on
Wednesday morning, November 30, 2022
The avalanche danger is MODERATE today.
Small very soft human triggered avalanches are possible in a wide variety of terrain.
More dangerous human triggered avalanches are possible in locations where the wind has drifted snow.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Weather and Snow
Current Conditions: The wind has dramatically slowed overnight and temperatures have rebounded to around 20˚F. The recent storm left about a foot of new low density snow. The wind stirred things up pretty good and you'll find a variety of crusts and stiff drifts in exposed terrain. In sheltered terrain the new snow remains very low density powder.
Mountain Weather: We have a couple of nice days in store with mostly clear skies, high temperatures in the mid 20s, and light to moderate speed southwest wind. Another quick hitting storm will move in Thursday night into Friday which looks like it might bring around another 6" of snow. More storms are lined up starting Sunday.
Recent Avalanches
During fieldwork on Tuesday, my partner and I found lots of scattered very small natural avalanches that broke into a Persistent Weak Layer of faceted snow. MORE PHOTOS AND DETAILS HERE
We were able to get slopes to crack out and triggered some very small pockets that also broke into the weak layer. All of the avalanches we saw or triggered were very small and the snow was soft. They aren't all that dangerous except they might boss you around and push you into rocks, stumps or trees if you're caught.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
We now have a buried Persistent Weak Layer of loose sugary faceted snow the is almost certain to cause avalanche problems. Loose sugary snow that formed during the 2 week dry spell in November is now buried and has showed me its cards. Small human triggered avalanches are possible in a wide vairety of terrain in the mid and upper elevations. The most dangerous places are where the wind has formed a deeper and larger drifts.
The bottom line is that there is no doubt in my mind that avalanche conditions are going to become dangerous sometime during the upcoming storms.
General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.