Forecast: Ogden Area Mountains - Utah Avalanche Center

Forecast for the Ogden Area Mountains

Issued by Trent Meisenheimer on
Wednesday morning, February 17, 2021

DANGEROUS AVALANCHE CONDITIONS EXIST. AVOID ALL AVALANCHE TERRAIN

Today the avalanche danger is HIGH on all aspects and elevations. Avoid being under or near any steep slope. Even very small slopes can bury a person.

Heavy snowfall and a weak faceted snowpack have created very dangerous avalanche conditions. Natural and human-triggered avalanches are very likely. Even unusual avalanches are possible in atypical terrain on atypical aspects and elevations.

Anybody going into or near the mountains today should avoid being near or under any steep slope - this includes skiing, snowshoeing, running, sledding, dog walking, etc.

Low

Moderate

Considerable

High

Extreme

Learn how to read the forecast here

Avalanche Warning

WARNING ISSUED

THE AVALANCHE DANGER RANGES FROM HIGH TO EXTREME ACROSS THE WARNING AREA

IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM MST THIS MORNING TO 6 AM MST THURSDAY

FOR THE MOUNTAINS OF MUCH OF THE STATE OF UTAH, INCLUDING THE WASATCH RANGE...BEAR RIVER RANGE...UINTA MOUNTAINS...MANTI-SKYLINE...THE FISH LAKE REGION…PAHVANTS…TUSHARS…AND THE CEDAR CITY AREA MOUNTAINS.

VERY DANGEROUS AVALANCHE CONDITIONS EXIST. NATURAL AND HUMAN TRIGGERED AVALANCHES ARE CERTAIN OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. STAY OFF OF AND OUT FROM UNDER SLOPES STEEPER THAN 30 DEGREES

Special Announcements

An HIGH avalanche danger means:

It is the second highest level of avalanche danger.

Avalanches are very likely to occur.

Avalanches may run historic distances and or create new avalanche paths.

Avalanches will be fast-moving, far-running, and very destructive.

Avalanches may reach or occur in places not normally affected by avalanches.

Weather and Snow

Snowfall continues bringing an additional 3-6 inches (0.30 - 0.50" swe) of new snow overnight to the Ogden area. This morning, the snow will continue to be focused in areas favored by a northwest flow and the east benches with heavy snowfall until about 11:00 am. Snow will begin to slow this afternoon and turn more showery. Mountain temperatures are in the mid-teens °F. Upper elevation winds are blowing west north-west 15-20 mph, gusting into the 40's. Storm totals are impressive:

Upper LCC: 50-80 inches of new snow with 3.0-6.22" water weight.

Upper BCC: 25-40 inches of new snow with 1.50-2.61" water weight.

PC Ridge: 15-30 inches of new snow with 1.0-2.0" water weight.

Ogden area: 20-30 inches of new snow with 2.0-2.5" water weight.

Provo area: 10-17 inches of new snow with 0.70-1.0" water weight.

Recent Avalanches

Many large natural avalanches have been reported. These avalanches are crashing down from thousands of feet above and running long distances, snapping trees, and putting debris on summer roads and hiking trails. You can read all observations HERE.

Type

Location

Likelihood

Size

Description

This storm added a huge load of new snow and wind-blown snow to a very weak and faceted snowpack. Avalanches will be big and destructive, 3-5 feet deep and hundreds of feet wide or larger.

The most suspect terrain continues to be the west through north through southeast, facing aspects at mid and upper elevations. HOWEVER, with so much snowfall and wind - upper elevation south-facing terrain and low elevation north-facing terrain will also produce avalanches that break on buried persistent weak layers.

Keep in mind:

Avalanches can be triggered from a distance or below.
Any fresh wind slab or new snow avalanche may step down several feet into older snow.

Video below is showing just how big these avalanches can be.

Type

Location

Likelihood

Size

Description

With the heavy snowfall and strong westerly winds, new slabs of wind drifted snow will continue to form and produce avalanches today. Some of these avalanches can be triggered by people; some of these avalanches will occur independently. The high winds can load a slope 10 times faster than just snowfall on its own. This combination of loading from winds and snowfall will make any wind-loaded slope very dangerous to travel near or under.

Even though winds are blowing from the west, slopes at any aspect at mid and upper elevations can be affected. Look for signs of recent wind loading, such as smooth, rounded, pillow-shaped deposits of snow.

Additionally, these elevated winds will increase the size of our cornices on many ridgelines, making them possibly even more sensitive. Stay well back from - and avoid travel below - corniced ridges.

Type

Location

Likelihood

Size

Description

Avalanches of new snow will occur on all aspects and elevations even in places not affected by recent strong winds. These new snow avalanches can impact anybody going into or near the mountains today including skiing, snowshoeing, running, dog walking, sledding, etc.

Avoid traveling near or below steep slopes as these new snow avalanches can run fast and far. Extreme caution is required.

General Announcements

Please visit this website with information about Responsible Winter Recreation by the Utah Office of Outdoor Recreation.

CLICK HERE FOR MORE GENERAL INFO AND FAQ

This information does not apply to developed ski areas or highways where avalanche control is normally done. This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.

Observations and Avalanches

Backcountry Emergency Procedures