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Forecast for the Ogden Area Mountains

Drew Hardesty
Issued by Drew Hardesty on
Thursday morning, January 27, 2022
Overall the avalanche danger is generally LOW and normal caution exists. You may encounter small sensitive wind drifts at mid and upper elevations and loose-dry snow (sluffing) within the steepest terrain on wind-protected north-facing aspects.
Continue to maintain normal safe travel protocols of only exposing one person at a time to avalanche terrain. If you were to trigger a slide, your only hope of surviving will be having partners watching you from a safe location.
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Weather and Snow
Another dry cold front is upon us and temperatures have dipped into the single digits and low teens. Skies, unfortunately, are clear. Winds are generally light to moderate from the northwest. Winds will continue to veer to the north and northeast today.
Riding conditions are best in the mid-elevation sun and wind protected terrain. Extensive wind damage exists up high (Brian Smith photo) and a supportable rain crust (capped with a little dust) exists down low.
We'll have sunny skies through the weekend, with temps warming again into the upper 20s and low 30s.
The weather models have long hinted at a pattern change as we move into February. It does appear that a storm arrives from the northwest Monday night and we should have a better handle of its progression in the coming days.
Recent Avalanches
No backcountry avalanches were reported though observers have tested wind drifted terrain with no results. We've received a number of excellent observations lately (thank you!) and they can be found HERE>
A common theme from these observations is the few inches of snow at the surface has weakened and turned to facets and surface hoar (photo Jonathan Melton). The weak snow at the surface is currently providing soft travel and riding conditions, but it may be a weak layer with any future storms.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Normal Caution
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
Overall, avalanche danger is LOW and normal caution exists. In isolated areas you may find:
- Pockets of fresh wind drifted snow along exposed ridges at the mid and upper elevations. Although drifts will be shallow (up to 6") and not very wide, wind drifts may be sensitive if they have formed on top of weaker snow underneath.
- Fast and long-running sluffing of dry snow on steep northerly aspects. Although these sluffs won't entrain much snow, getting caught in even a small avalanche could be serious in consequential terrain.

Evaluate each slope and look for any signs of instability such as cracking in fresh wind drifts or long-running sluffs in steep terrain.
General Announcements
Who's up for some free avalanche training? Get a refresher, become better prepared for an upcoming avalanche class, or just boost your skills. Go to https://learn.kbyg.org/ and scroll down to Step 2 for a series of interactive online avalanche courses produced by the UAC.
This information does not apply to developed ski areas or highways where avalanche control is normally done. This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.