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Forecast for the Ogden Area Mountains

Drew Hardesty
Issued by Drew Hardesty on
Friday morning, January 21, 2022
Areas of MODERATE danger exist in the upper elevations where sensitive wind drifts up to a foot deep are possible. Some of these drifts may be triggered at a distance.
Loose snow sluffing is also expected in the steepest terrain of all aspects and all elevations.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Weather and Snow
Snowfall began a couple hours before midnight and we're up to 2-4" (0.2-0.4" SWE) in the northern Wasatch. We may squeeze another inch or two out of this system yet.
Temperatures are in the upper teens and low twenties. Winds are 5-10mph from the north-northwest except along the highest elevations where we're seeing hourly averages of 15-20mph with gusts to 30.
As the storm moves through, winds will shift north and then northeast and we'll see cool bitter winds of 15-20mph from those directions. Temps will be in the upper teens and low 20s. Clouds will thin and we'll see mostly and then partly cloudy skies by the afternoon. High pressure builds back in for the weekend with a weak storm slated for Monday night. I'm not seeing much on the horizon until the turn of the month. We'll see.

Skiing and riding conditions have been a little rugged of late and these few inches will do wonders for those with their cups half full. Low angle protected* slopes are recommended.
(*protected as in not wind drifted. See below.)

Greg Gagne's patented Week in Review is published and can be found HERE>
Recent Avalanches
None.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Wind Drifted Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
Three to five inches of new snow can easily be blown into wind drifts six to twelve inches thick. Any drifts will be blown onto a variety of slick or weak snow surfaces and may be surprisingly sensitive to the weight of a skier or rider. They may also be triggered from a distance. Richie Schumacher, Brian Smith, and Jonathan Melton have all reported slick crusts capped by weak snow and surface hoar in recent days. You can find their reports HERE>
Given the highly variable pre-existing snow surfaces, it'll be wise to anticipate sensitive conditions and foolish to extrapolate conditions from slope to slope, even slopes on similar aspects. Collapsing and shooting cracks are common signs of instability.
Note that the drifts will be primarily limited to the higher elevations but any terrain with fresh drifts of wind blown snow should be treated with caution and/or avoided.
Avalanche Problem #2
New Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
Sluffing of the new snow is expected on all aspects AND elevations in the steepest terrain this morning. In confined and sustained terrain features, even 2-5" of new can pile up deeply, especially in terrain traps. Very weak snow and surface hoar (frozen dew) sits atop a rain/rime crust from a couple weeks ago. New snow will sluff very easily and run fast/far on this slick set up particularly in the low and mid-elevations.
General Announcements
Who's up for some free avalanche training? Get a refresher, become better prepared for an upcoming avalanche class, or just boost your skills. Go to https://learn.kbyg.org/ and scroll down to Step 2 for a series of interactive online avalanche courses produced by the UAC.
This information does not apply to developed ski areas or highways where avalanche control is normally done. This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.